Home for the Holidays

As the year winds down toward the holidays, I want to remind people that there's one last push left for the real estate market.  Although fewer people look for property during this season, those who do are generally very motivated.  And, while sellers often don't want to have their homes subject to showings near the holidays, the truth is that some homes never look better than when they are decorated for the season.  There is a weather factor, of course, and much less daylight, but the aroma of baked goods and a display of festive decorations will often do a lot to make a house seem like you want it to be your new home.

The same principle applies to the financing and closing side of a transaction.  Even though people generally miss more working days, and parties and vacations can slow down the wheels of commerce, there is usually a strong motivation to clean off desks at the end of the year, and fewer files that have to be processed.  The tax issues involved can often lend a sense of urgency also, since many times there is a big incentive to close in one year or the next, and many jobs that begin at the first of the new year.

So, before you stop reading the Open House section of the paper, and trolling the internet for interesting homes, take a long look at your goals, and think about whether you can accomplish in less time and with less competition (and maybe even for a lower price) what otherwise will be left until spring.  Maybe a new home is the best present of all!

Where Retail Goes, Will Real Estate Follow?

Retailers seem very happy with sales so far this holiday season.  Even booksellers, according to today's New York Times, have been seeing big increases.  Given the lackluster sales in the past few seasons, this seems to indicate that consumers have loosened their purse strings.

What does that mean for real estate?  While the fact that someone will buy a book doesn't necessarily mean that they will buy a house, the fact that someone won't buy a book almost certainly means that they will not make a large purchase like a house.  So it's a prerequisite that consumers have to feel more confidence before the real estate market will improve.  Hopefully, we're almost there.  Given the historic low interest rates, it's hard to believe that we haven't gotten there already.  Perhaps the start of a new year will push us over into a seller's market, or at least into a balanced one.

Mortgage Woes

There has been a lot of talk about how low mortgage rates are today--the lowest in memory--but much less talk about how hard they are to get approved.  We have found that buyers may wait for weeks with promises of commitment, only to be told after a long period of time that they are being denied.  The annoying part--actually, make that one annoying part--is that the denial is frequently for something that you would have thought that the bank had known all along.  This is true of delays as well.  We have had closings delayed multiple times, with some delays being for things that should have been settled well in advance. 

I suspect that some of the problem lies in confusion at the banks, and probably understaffing.  The bigger issue may be that no one has the authority to pull the trigger on anything, so things have to wend their way up a ladder of approvals.  Just to be clear, all of the blame does not belong with the banks.  Governmental changes in policy have caused all kinds of changes, and sometimes at the last minute.  The feds are always trying to protect us against the last problem, so many of the rules seem largely unnecessary.  This is one of the situations where we can groan when we hear that "we're from the government, and we're here to help you."

Buyers can contribute to the delays also.  Anyone who has gotten a loan in prior years may be amazed at how much information is demanded on today's applications.  Some people waste time trying to argue their way out of requirements.  Since most are imposed on the banks, as opposed to by the banks, this is a delay not worth taking.  The one I hear frequently is this:  "I don't need to get a loan.  I could pay cash.  If they just look at my bank balance, they won't ask for all this paperwork."  Not true.  Get over it, or go ahead and pay cash.

The statistics from the CT Multiple Listing Service show closing times of around 60 days.  That's not so far from the 30 to 45 days of the past, but should be noted, especially as almost 40% of sales are for cash these days, and therefore have no delays.  The time frames may get worse as we near the holiday season, so plan ahead to avoid disappointment. 

The Week of Thanksgiving

It seems ironic, in an economic environment when many have less to be thankful for, that Thanksgiving seems to have become a week-long holiday. I was amazed to find, when I was driving home last Friday night, that I95 North looked much as it did on the Friday before a summer long weekend. Then I came to work yesterday, only to find that a lot of folks did not.

If we weren't so desperate in our industry to get things sold and closed by the end of the year, it might be nice to have a week in which to play catch up. We could do all the things that we haven't had time to do since Labor Day, and take a little extra time to get ready for the holidays ahead. However, when you are trying to finish up deals, recruit, collect bills, track down deposits, and negotiate next year's contracts for services, it's disconcerting to learn that many calls go unanswered and emails bounce back.

Yale gets the whole week off, and my running buddy was amazed this morning to see a school bus, since he thought all schools got the same vacation. Hopkins did, but the public schools are still in session. That should mean that some people must still be around! So where are they? And why aren't they answering their phones?

Home for the Holidays

This is the second of my annual posts. It's another one that is often the same, although this year I might even being writing it a little earlier than usual. It's time to remind those who want to close out the year by finishing a move that we have arrived at the eleventh hour.

By the time a buyer makes an offer, gets it accepted, does his/her inspection, obtains a mortgage and insurance, and closes the property, it will be the end of December. And that's if nothing goes really wrong.

The buying process has always contained some amount of sturm und drang, and there may be a little back and forth negotiation after the inspection results, but it is the mortgage process where the time frames have drastically changed. People who have not financed or refinanced recently will be shocked at the current level of documentation required for getting a mortgage. Often, they even spend time arguing about whether something is necessary--not worth your time, if you try--and it may take some time to produce all that is needed. The appraisal process can also take longer, especially since the low rates mean that there is a great deal of refinancing work being done at the banks now.

Even insurance is more complicated than it used to be. I remember the days when you could call on the day of the closing and get a binder. No more. Flood insurance in particular seems to slow up some transactions, where it is required.

The final point to keep in mind is that the holiday season is often a vacation time and/or a busy time for attorneys. Buyers have to plan ahead a little more to get things closed at the very end of the year.

There's my annual warning, so now it's time to get going!

Happy Holidays

As this challenging economic year comes to a close, I'd like to take this opportunity to wish all H. Pearce agents, staff, clients, and blog readers a very healthy and happy holiday season, with best wishes for a prosperous New Year. We value your business, and commit ourselves to providing you with the best in professional real estate services. Please call us with any and all of your real estate needs in 2010!

Open Houses

Even though we are not in the traditional season for open houses, we've been surprised at how many people have been coming to the ones that have been held lately. We think it's a result of the tax credit, and the interest is stronger at the lower end of the price scale, but we're happy for the activity wherever it falls.

The moral of this story is that this may not be the typical holiday season, and that, if you are a seller, you may want to try harder to sell your home over the holidays. Don't make the assumption that the market will be dead until spring. Our November results were 80% ahead of our November results last year--we are clearly in the early stages of a recovery. While prices will lag for a long time after unit sales rise, there are clearly buyers out there.