It's the Buying Time of Year Again

Our agents have heard me say this every year, but it's time to say it for this blog: The best time to buy a house is between Halloween and Thanksgiving. Sellers are ready to sell, as they start to pay heating bills, think about plowing, and head into the holidays. Buyers are mostly settled into new homes or forgetting about buying until spring. It's hard to show houses in the winter. There's snow and ice, not to mention cold. Parking and driveways can make open houses and showings tricky. Although many homes show well when they are decorated for the holidays, most families are busy at that time of year and don't want to have to keep their homes clutter-free and ready to show. Most buildings look better in light, and there isn't much of it in the dead of winter. All of that adds up to the realization that, if you haven't sold your home within the next three weeks, you probably aren't going to sell it until the spring.

Despite that chilling thought, there are sellers who want to move at this time of year. For one thing, some have tax reasons for wishing to close before year end. Some have jobs or commitments in other places. Some are tired of the selling process, and some have another home waiting for them. Some just want to spend the winter in a warmer place. All of those people are competing for the buyers still looking when winter comes. Therefore, if you are an eager seller, you are most likely to compromise on the price at this time of year.

Buyers can capitalize on these factors to negotiate for a better price as the weather gets cold, especially if the home is empty and sellers are worried about freezing pipes and empty oil tanks, or even just heating and plowing bills. This is the time of year when a month of expenses can easily become six months of expenses, and sellers will take that into account.

If you are a buyer, particularly a buyer with cash, here's your chance! Don't waste it--buy now.

OK, President Obama--Let's Get Moving!

I've been reading a lot about the TARP program (giving capital to banks so that they'll lend it out). One commentator today in the Times was saying that the banks aren't using the money to lend any extra; they're just holding onto it in case they have losses and need to boost their capital ratio. As Homer Simpson would say, "Doh!". If you give me some money to buy a present for myself, and, at the same time, warn me that I may have unexpected expenses over the next year, would you be surprised if I didn't spend it?

I think it's time to bring back the "bad bank" concept, used successfully in the late 80s and early 90s with the Resolution Trust Company, and even used in the Great Depression, as the Homeowners' Assistance Corporation. If the government took the rest of the TARP money and "bought", for some number of cents on the dollar, bad assets of the banks, then investors wouldn't be so skittish about investing in banks, stock prices and confidence would go up, and credit might start to flow a little faster. If you remember, those entities came out fine in the end; it just took some number of years to dispose of the troubled assets. We may not even be talking about a permanent loss, just a fix for the peace of mind of bankers and stockholders.

While we're waiting for something to happen, why not see some theater? We saw the world premiere of Athol Fugard's new play at Long Wharf Theatre this week. Coming Home is a beautifully acted, beautifully directed production. Although it's sad, it tugs at the heartstrings in unexpected ways. This makes two stellar premieres in a row for LWT, following the unforgettable Civil War Christmas, by Paula Vogel. I may not be objective on LWT, but I certainly am in the majority on these two shows. Treat yourself--see something warm on a cold night!